Government in the 20th Century!
What defined the 20th century was the ideological struggle between capitalism and socialism (national or proletarian). In the end, the forces of ‘freedom’ and open markets prevailed with the collapse of the Soviet Union. Interestingly enough, when analyzing the reasons for the collapse of the Soviet Union, the conclusion is not that capitalism triumphed over the planned economy. Rather, what bankrupted the Soviet Union were its efforts to keep-up with the U.S. military build-up during the 80’s. (China, the other major socialist people’s republic is still around and preaching its own version of Marxism!)
The fall of the Berlin Wall, and the subsequent collapse of communism in Eastern Europe constituted the single most transformative event of the past 40 years. Since man walked the surface of the Moon, the collapse of communism signified the predominance of ‘one’ over the ‘other.’ A New World Order was beginning, in which the U.S. stood supreme – and capitalism was the preeminent economic/political ideology. However, this very victory led (inevitable some would say) to our current economic and political quagmire at home and throughout Europe.
In particular, the euphoria of the victory over communism in the early 90’s led to further government deregulation by the end of the decade, including significantly lowering trade barriers (see passing of NAFTA and the WTO), more tax incentives for outsourcing and further deregulation of the financial/banking sector (see repeal of Glass-Steagall regulations). As a result we saw great economic growth and innovation (like the development of the internet and wireless telecommunications), but also multiple economic busts and downturns (like the dot.com bubble and of course the more recent housing market collapse).
Following the 2008 financial crisis, the federal government tried to remedy the situation, with TARP, the Obama Stimulus, and the Dodd-Frank legislation. Judging by the still dropping values of houses nationwide and the still high levels of unemployment, the outcome of the governments reforms are inconclusive; Democrats argue that government intervention stopped the bleeding and averted another great depression (but reforms have not gone far enough – more government regulations and more stimulus needed), while Republicans concluded (self-fulfillingly) that government intervention cannot and will not fix unemployment or the housing market (just eliminate government regulations, lower taxes on the job-creators and let the market work its magic).
Furthermore, the financial crisis which originated in the U.S. caused a GLOBAL recession that exposed both the weaknesses of free markets and the vulnerabilities of the American financial system (the pride of capitalism as we know it). The current European sovereign debt crisis, partially caused by the U.S. financial crisis, is now the single greatest threat to our domestic economic recovery. In other words, the financial crisis further exposed the interconnectedness of this new (post-soviet) world order – a world that the U.S. cannot control (nor fix) on its own.
What should be the Role of Government in the 21st Century?
The question therefore, often asked by pundits these days, and the one most of us hope will be the defining theme of the 2012 Presidential election is: What should be the role of the government? Is government intervention necessary for the fair and efficient operation of the market, or is government the obstacle that holds back economic growth and full employment? What is the concluding lesson of the most recent financial crisis; did the government cause the housing market collapse or did it avert another great depression?
However you frame the question, the answer is one and obvious: in this globally integrated world we are living in, where the market is truly global and even more unwieldy then in the past, government will play an even greater role during the 21st century. Most governments around the world, from China and Japan to the European Union are consciously trying to protect their people and industries from the forces of global integration while at the same time take advantage of this global economy. Governments around the world are trying to ‘manage’ the global economy (or at lease influence its impact on their domestic markets).
And what about the U.S.; what should the U.S. do in this globally integrated world? Should the U.S. federal government pursue an activist role, picking winners and losers and adopting an industrial policy like so many other countries do in order to influence employment and economic growth? Or, should the U.S. return to the ‘good old days’ when the federal government stayed out of peoples business and the free markets provided economic growth and ample employment opportunities!?
Is it possible that our federal government (meaning the executive branch and the federal bureaucracy) is too big and therefore too distracted to effectively mount any global economic strategy? Is it possible, that weather we have a united government between Congress and the Presidency, or divided government between the two parties, our federal bureaucracy will not be able to deliver effective management of the U.S. economy and/or leadership of the global economy (or adequate solution of our major economic problems – unemployment, federal debt, and social security solvency)?
Inevitably, due to this global economic integration, even if the U.S. pursues the best economic policies, it will not be insulated from global competition or economic instability abroad. From the ever growing Chinese economy, to the political developments of the Arab world, to the current EU crisis (which could seriously hurt the U.S. economy) we are now and forever will be subject to global economic developments.
Government will matter a lot in the 21st century, and therefore we should join the rest of the world’s leading economies, by adopting a ‘national’ industrial policy and pick winners and losers, thus better competing in this globally integrated economy. Or, the federal government can get out of the business of ‘managing’ the market and rather let the States to pursue their own industrial policies, and by competing with each-other achieve economic growth and thus better compete with the rest of the world.
Devolution of Power to the States – They Know Better how to Grow their Economies!
Our current system of governance is dangerously misaligned. Like the wheal’s of a car, over the course of the past 200 years, we have been constantly (slowly but surely) deviating from our original course. Our current Republic resembles only in name the one that our founding fathers build. And if you wonder why we are so political gridlocked these days all you have to do is compare our current system of governance with the one envisioned by the framers of the Constitution.
One of the fundamental presumptions of the U.S. Constitution is this: when governmental power is consolidated and unlimited it is unresponsive to the needs of the governed. The framers originally sought to prevent the overreach of government by creating a system of governance that distributed power as widely as possible through a structured competition of natural self-interests.
Therefore, the framers preserved the sovereignty/integrity of the states, to be both independent and united, as well as “laboratories of democracy.” The framers also divided legislation between a House that represents the people directly, and a Senate which represents the States equally. They gave the executive to the President, and endowed the President with the power to veto legislation, but they also rejected popular election of the President and provided for the loser of the Presidential election to be the Vice-President.
All these checks and balances to excessive and concentrated power by one branch of the federal government have been slowly eroding over the years. The Senate no longer represents the State government, the Supreme Court has more often than not sided with expansion of the powers of the federal government, and the executive has amassed overwhelming powers and responsibilities. The worst of all, has been the politicization of the Presidency, and the dominance of the two party system.
The original design of the U.S. Constitution acknowledged that the several state governments were better equipped than the national government to address the vast majority of citizens’ needs. The democratically elected officials of those state governments live among the people they represent. They shop at their constituents’ stores and socialize at their homes. They are far more likely to know the people, their strengths, their problems and their sensibilities, and are therefore the appropriate representatives of the people’s most critical economic and political desires.
In essence, state governments are both better aware of the strength and need of their constituents, and are better able to respond promptly to efficiently unlike the often slow and distant national government. Devolution of economic, health, labor, agriculture, education, housing, energy and urban development policy setting to the States, will not only allow them to better pursue their own (unique) ‘industrial policies’, but also free the federal government to better focus on the vital task of addressing global economic and security developments.
But how can we effectively and meaningfully devolve the government powers for managing the economy to the States? Constitutionally, of course; but the chances of that happening in our current partisan political climate are zero to non. It will take a new kind of President, one that is not tethered to either one of the two major parties, who will have the will-power to resist grabbing further powers and further consolidating policy-setting at the White House, and who will truly change the way the Presidency has worked for the past 80 years (since FDR).
It will take a new process for electing our president!
American’s Elect – The Right Process for our Times!
Our current two-party system has failed us, and if the past 20 years is any indication it will not deliver the kind of executive we need to deal with this global economy of the 21st century. Our current two-party system will continue the partisan gridlock of Washington, where the only way to solve any current or future problem (from education and housing, to energy and unemployment) will be to further concentrate powers at the federal level.
For comparison, consider Greece and its current sovereign debt crisis. Most people believe that Greece’s sovereign debt problem is the result of high government spending, a bloated bureaucracy, and inadequate tax collection. That however is the symptom, and not the cause of the problem with Greece. The true reason for Greece’s economic misfortunes is (what I like to call) the dictatorship of the Prime-minister. For the majority of the past 30 years, the office of the Prime-minister exercised complete control over the Greek government – no meaningful checks and balances from the other branches, no divided government, just a Westminster model with a strong executive with enhanced policy-setting powers in order to swiftly pass vital economic reforms. It is Greece’s system of governance, which allowed a two party partisan governing practice that was primarily responsible for the current state of fiscal disrepair.
How possible is it, that unless we change the way OUR government works, in 20 years we could be facing a ‘Greek-style’ sovereign debt crisis? We need to ‘realign’ our priorities and expectations for the role and function of the federal executive branch. The current system of governance has taken us as far as we can go. Partisan politics will never leave our lives, nor should they. The Congress is legitimately the place where the people’s representatives come to argue and debate different policies and priorities. If the people don’t like the gridlock and the partisan gamesmanship that characterizes the modern congress, then they should vote the rascals out.
On the other hand, the Executive Branch and the federal bureaucracy will have to be apolitical and technocratic, in order to better handle the many foreign economic/security shocks that are coming our way from overseas. There is no Republican or Democratic response to the Arab Spring, or the EU sovereign debt crisis. We will need a federal bureaucracy that can be objective and methodical, as well as disciplined enough to promote the devolution of federal powers and responsibilities to the states that we will need.
We can hope that Congress will deliver the necessary reforms to the federal government, or that one of these days one of the two major parties will nominate a Presidential candidate willing to take on the task of reforming our government for the 21st century. We can hope! On the other hand, Americans Elect is promising to put on the ballot in every State, a bipartisan ticket that will not be beholden to either one of the two major parties.
Under the Americans Elect process, individuals and groups can nominate candidates for president, to be decided in via an on-line convention in July. The only stipulation being that the winner will have to pick a vice-president from the opposite party (or an independent) in order to get the ballot access that Americans Elect is guaranteeing.
This is refreshingly reminiscent of the true vision of our founding fathers, back in the day when there were no political parties and the executive was supposed to be bipartisan. The original vision of the framers was that the winner of the Electoral College would become the president, and the runner-up would be the vice-president. The 1800 presidential election, and the chicanery of the Democratic-Republican party of Thomas Jefferson (and the subsequent 12th Amendment to the Constitution) changed that system, to our current outcome.
Americans Elect promises a bipartisan ticket, on the ballot of every State. A bipartisan ticket that could break our current misaligned trajectory to further consolidation of power at the executive, further political partisan gridlock, and overall marginalization of the people.
Americans Elect could prove to be our last best hope for restoring our Republic!